Silverpriset: Världens största cup- & handleformation

Bara-bra länkade följande på guldaktier.se den här veckan: Worlds largest bullish Cup & Handle pattern could be in play

If the pattern would happen to be forming the handle, it would appear an almost “must” hold is in play at (1) above. Silver is now at its 23% Fibonacci level of the 10-year rally off the 2001 lows and 2011 highs and a 10-year support line is also in play right now.

Annonser

Extremt mycket underliggande värde i Guldaktierna

Dags för en liten uppdatering ang guldaktierna, min syn har inte förändrats något sedan toppen 2011, jag ansåg att de var den mest attraktiva tillgången då och gör det fortfarande eftersom de fallit med 70 procent sedan dess. Vad som skiljer nu från då är att situationen blivit ännu mer extrem, lufttillgångar har ökat ännu mer i värde, dvs felallokeringsbubblan har vuxit sig ännu större. Jag definierar felallokeringens storlek med hur skev värderingen mellan verkliga tillgångar och luft är:

De som investerat i bubblan har tagit ett kortsiktigt bra beslut och de som valt att investera i verkliga tillgångar, dvs jag, har fått sig en käftsmäll.

Guldaktierna just nu: Det går att köpa kvalitativt guld (guld som är ekonomiskt att bryta) i marken för under $5/oz samtidigt som guldpriset står i $1220/oz. Du behöver inte ha höga förståndsgåvor för att förstå att det är billigt. Imo är detta något vi aldrig kommer att få se igen, felallokering är på sin peak och vi kommer härifrån börja se köpkraft strömma i motsatt riktning och det räcker med väldigt små mängder för att hela sektorn ska explodera högre.

HUI/SPX:

‘The largest physical silver position in history’

Citerade några rader från Ted Butlers senaste artikel i ett tidigare inlägg, nu är hela artikeln släpp och finns att läsa här: The Perfect Crime December 29, 2014

If there is one thing that JPMorgan is expert at, given that it commands an army of lobbyists and has more government officials in its back pocket than any other entity on the face of the earth, it is the exploitation of US law and regulations. JPMorgan knew that US law dictated that the Mint must produce enough Silver (and Gold) Eagles to meet demand. That law was never intended to allow a single big buyer to demand the extraordinary amount of Silver Eagles that JPMorgan desired to buy, but that’s the purpose behind the exploitation of the law.

The Mint sells Silver Eagles at the prevailing price of silver on the day of the sale. In essence, the COMEX price of silver is the price of silver. By controlling the price of COMEX silver, JPMorgan sets the price at which it will buy Silver Eagles. It’s the perfect crime – JPMorgan sets the price of COMEX silver and then demands as many coins as the Mint and its suppliers can produce, even if that means producing the coins on a 24/7 basis. Hey, that’s the law. And remember when JPMorgan increased its COMEX short position in the summer, assuring that prices were about to drop and what occurred as a result? Sales of Silver Eagles nosedived temporarily and only resumed after prices were brought lower by this crooked bank.

‘JP Morgans perfect silver crime’

Text av Ted Butler från Ed Steers blogg

Back in the late 1970’s the Hunt Brothers accumulated close to 100 million oz of physical silver (and more in futures contracts) and were found to have manipulated the price of silver higher as a result of that accumulation. What makes the much larger accumulation of physical silver by JPMorgan today different is that it is the perfect crime.  

The Hunts were outsiders; JPMorgan is the ultimate insider. The Hunts ran afoul of the regulators; JPMorgan owns the regulators. The Hunts’ purchases were widely known; as far as I know, I’m the only one pointing to JPMorgan accumulating massive amounts of physical silver. The Hunts drove prices higher as they accumulated silver; JPMorgan, by virtue of its price control on the COMEX, has been able to accumulate silver on sharply declining prices. Talk about a stacked deck. 

Given that JPMorgan has such control over the U.S. regulators and is able to operate in near total secrecy in matters related to physical silver, it’s hard for me to imagine what could foil their perfect silver crime. All that’s missing is JPM selling out at extremely high silver prices. And considering that big banks, in essence, don’t have to report anything they don’t want to publicly report, I would be surprised if JPMorgan would even have to pay taxes if they made the many billions of dollars they seemed destined to make on silver to the upside.Silver analyst Ted Butler: 20 December 2014